If mgmt chooses to just release the same BB phones with no real strong value proposition then no, I suspect they end up like Palm and go the wayside. They need to find some other ways to innovate, but innovation is *very* hard.
Apple had the same problem if you go back to 1996 when Win 95 just came out and they were languishing. If all they did was just stick to mfg regular Macs, I doubt they'd still be around. But they innovated, first with the imac and then with their phone and so on.
Long term no. I expect them to bleed for a while. They'll eventually either file for bankruptcy or they'll be acquired. If they file for bankruptcy, the stock price drop which makes it a buying opportunity since they have an attractive patent portfolio, making the price go up again on acquisition rumors. When the stock pops on any of this news, sell right away and take your profits.
Yah, RIMM is looking to be acquired according to WSJ
i wonder if MS gonna purchase part of the business so it can gobble up the business platform.
Which I think it'll make WP a very promising platform.
I was hearing about BB it seems they are going down. I think Microsoft would benefit the most out of it. Isn't that how Microsoft started to take control of the market (Dell, HP, Asus, Compaq, Toshiba etc). Since Microsoft is working out with Nokia I think it be another one to grab and use there phones I heard there phones are great its just the OS support.
When I said Exchange I meant corporate not exchange servers. Right now if you want secure connection to your Exchange Servers Blackberry is the way to go so RIMM has a large share of Corporate customers who are concerned about emails. Some companies use GMAIL . So it just depends, for now my company has just started testing the Iphone 4S and Samsung Galaxy S if they can get those 2 working I believe many people will dump their Blackberries in droves.
So yes if they lose their Corporate base and they have lost all the tweens and teens that used to use a Blackberry for texting and BBM, they will have no " cash cow" to keep money flowing in. Microsoft has Nokia and Windows Phone so i don't see them as a real player but i can see Amazon since they would like to have a tablet that was not another Android tablet and getting into phones would be a new revenue stream for them.
The only way RIMM is going to survive is some random company buying them out and keeping them going. There is still a market out there of users who know nothing else besides their blackberries, they'll play a key role in deciding their fate based on what they decide to do with themselves as a company.
Goners for all practical purposes. They have no driving products now as they once did, not likely to come up with any, and not able to compete at the level that things are played in the phone world these days. Management is pitiful. They do have enough of a business base that they're not going anywhere fast though. Witness Palm and expect the same end result.
they will die slowly, Id be surprised if they were acquired
On the other hand they do have a steady income stream, the problem is they have huge legacy costs rent/staff. If someone can acquire them and pretty much can the entire staff and keep the revenue stream I could see that happening.
I consider RIMM to be more like Palm and less like Nokia. Either a buyout or BK will be RIMM's fate, with BK being the more likely scenario IMO. Their only hope is licensing their network/messaging/security assets to the likes of Apple or Android.
I shorted in my virtual portfolio at $30. I don't short IRL, but if I did, i'd be sitting pretty right now. RIMM and Yahoo are old news.
I don't think experience really matters for a president. My point is that you can't really use his own words from 4 years ago against him.
1.20.2009 - The end of one error, and the beginning of another
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