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edit... to my novice eye, they all appear to have about the same amount of volatility http://www.google.com/finance?chdnp=1&chdd=1&chds=1&chdv=1&chvs=maximized&chdeh=0&chfdeh=0&chdet=1360851658994&chddm=912985&cmpto=MUTF:VTWNX;MUTF:VTTVX;MUTF:VTHRX;MUTF:VFINX;MUTF:VFORX&cmptdms=0;0;0;0;0&q=MUTF:VTXVX&&ei=xvIcUcDzGIW2rQHKxgE here's the 1yr chart http://www.google.com/finance?chd...GYTFqgHZcA Last edited by vaultaddict; 02-14-2013 at 06:24 AM.. |
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| 02-14-2013, 06:17 AM | |
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Actually the best reason to go to cash now isnt pessimism but optimisim: the stock market has been pretty good for the past 3-4 years, although sentiment still isn't as optimistic as it was back in 2007, at the last market peak. Some time in the late 1990s, when the stock market was still on a long bull run, Hulbert wrote that about half the financial newsletters he tracked were bearish, half were bullish, and it seemed that was the long term norm. Flipping a coin will also be half bearish, half bullish. And Elaine Garzarelli, who became famous for predicting the October, 1987 crash, hasn't done very well since, except for predicting a bear market in the 1990s -- on the very day of the market bottom for the year. Another person who did the latter was Joe Battaglia, who "changed his mind" a few days later. Both were articulate and highly confident in their words, as is every CNBC guest. |
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http://portfolios.morningstar.com...ture=en-us Have you read articles about market timing, written by people who don't make money from timing? What do you think? |
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