10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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So, Benflation opens his mouth and the $US jumps above the 200MA for the first time since 9/11/10. Gold and silver both jumped as usual, but I can't remember the dollar ever jumping to this degree...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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Looks like a pretty evident breakdown on the lower trendline support on the S&P and Dow futures signaling plenty of blood tomorrow.
We were making higher highs and higher lows on both indicies,...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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Hey, sorry for the late response, things have been hectic with school lately. I exited out of precious metals before the dip 10 days ago and should have alerted other members of my move. However, I...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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Good news is that S&P has stayed above 1170 today. Bad news is that a break below this level on Monday would signal another test of August lows. Stayed hedged (buy some precious metals) and don't...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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I I, Captain. I have more of a gut feeling about 99% of the people reading this will not heed any of your advice. It's sad, but groupthink is an infectious disease.
We go from crashed...to more...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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Why is the Dow a way better crash gauge than the S&P 500?
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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What's it's performance since inception? No one can tell you anything until you state where you're at currently.
Also, just remember that you can sit in cash on the side during times of indecision.
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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:iagree:
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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If you feel secure in your job and your current financial situation you might even contribute more since you have a long way to go and buying during a recession pays off later.
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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Go watch collapse the documentary and tell me I'm wrong:
Buy gold.
Germany after WWI-> wheelbarrow of cash to buy bread
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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You make some moderate points....playing to much Fallout I see, but not to fear, I have both watched the markets, read the book and played Fallout (3 and vegas) :bounce:
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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On absolutely no volume the market chugs right along toward every Fed meeting anticipation of more easy money. I bet they even take it beyond the 200MA's on both idicies, which would clear a 15%...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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This ought to take the U.S. over the cliff, and into the abyss:
U.S. regulator to sue major banks over mortgages
...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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Thanks for the analysis barnz. Any kind of bottom will be formed on good news, but that won't be today....there is horrible news coming out of Europe:
...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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This will be interesting to watch. I don't know how long they can keep the $US afloat much longer...it's really getting compressed. Looks like death, but then so does the S&P.
Can they both make...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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Gentlemen, I believe we are on the precipice of a market crash. I could be wrong, but I've been growing increasingly pessimistic about the markets over the last 2 weeks. If the Fed does not announce...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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banz008 gave a good explanation (deserving of a rep)
The DOW is also the oldest index, people pay much more attention to it.
Some people argue that the Dow is a better indication of market...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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I looked at your older posts and your warnings. Repped for your efforts.
I'm not so sure if this market is even safe to short. My short exposure is limited (10-15% of portfolio), but I am hedged...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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That's a very good point and one I think a lot of people miss.
I tried to explain this to my GF the other day. They're borrowing from YOU for FREE and you're borrowing from THEM for 19%!...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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Thanks for the share, barnz. I agree the chart looks ugly, and surprisingly we didn't get the expected dip on Friday. At the same time there wasn't any short covering that I saw, another couple of...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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I'm right there with you.
Great point on raising cash as the $US is due for a huge rally as the risk trade takes the market down and bonds to insane levels. Wanna talk bubble, look at the global...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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The is dead cat is half rubber.
The no volume meltup-a-thon resumes. Looks we're on 7-10 days of trough to peak cycles which should bring the SPX to 1140 in about a week at which point I'll put...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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What's the consensus at this point, guys?
The SPX and Dow both have broken down below the lower trendline from the above graphs and have failed to rally back up to the top of the pennant. Lower...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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The only way to win is not to play.
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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Good question.
I look at the ES, personally. The S&P is more liquid than the DOW and is about 15-20% banks/financials by weight last I looked. Good way to short the cancer patient and get the...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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Keep in mind the inverse relationship between equities and the $US. For the market to rally heavily up to the 200ma, the $US will have to take out or come dangerously close to it's all-time low in...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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Thanks for the heads up barnz.
The reason why I'm suddenly so optimistic on silver is because the bigger banks have switched to being long on precious metals again. There is more quantitative...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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You mean the re-re-recssion? When did we ever get out? You can't possibly think that you can turn the gears of an economy drivin by crappy engine by just filling up the gas tank right when it's about...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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Well, now isn't this fuuuuuun? ES prints it's intermediate low at 1068 and less than a week later is gunning right for 1200.
The Dow did stay above 10,800 for it's weekly close last week.
...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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If you put any weight in TA theory or analysis (specifically Elliot Wave), then this comparison and movement is pretty uncanny:
...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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I have, it sucked and now I give old Mike better odds of crashing than his futile predictions. The guy smokes like each cig is his last...but then he must forget that he just had one, so lights up...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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Well?
Looks like 1180 on the ES is the last stand for the bulls (50% retracement from the 1068 to 1290 rally).
I've been working on the following from the above list as I think they're the most...
10 Great Rules For Surviving A Market Crash
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Thread created 08-24-2011 by lovelyssm
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32 Replies
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Should I be doing anything with my 401k? Its a Target plan (2050). Contribute less?
