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US Treasury CMB 161-day bill. Expected yield 5.27%, may go higher

647 213 May 25, 2023 at 02:49 PM in Finance (7)
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Last Edited by zjs2k May 31, 2023 at 02:27 AM
+64 Deal Score
66,984 Views
NOTE:
The yields listed here are annualized (APY).
The CUSIP for this CMB is 912797FJ1.
Current expected yield according to Fidelity is 5.3% (May 26), 5.268% (May 27).

Final edit: the result was out (May 30): 5.562% (investment rate, equivalent to APY).

This thread was moved out of the "Hot Deals" forum (understandably. I don't think Treasury will give SD a cut for promoting their T-Bills Haha!). Despite received much less attention than the other Treasury threads, I hope everyone read this got some useful information (like the difference between CMB and T-bills, or there are bills called CMB). I can't vouch for anyone else's comments here, but I tried to be clear about things that I know, I assume, I guess or I don't know in my comments.

Final recommendation: continue to purchase the Bills of all durations as long as they remain high yields. At 5+% yield with essentially 0 risk, it makes the risky investment in stocks / bitcoin or similar becomes less and less attractive.

=======

Since Treasury's CMB doesn't have a fixed schedule, which leads to less competitive bids, which in turn **usually"" leads to higher yield. This 161-day bill announced today has an expected yield of 5.27% according to Fidelity. But it **could** be higher. Example: last week's 21-day bill estimated yield ~ 5.5% (can't remember exactly). The final yield was 6.3+%.

Note: you can only buy it through brokers. Fidelity allows multiples of $1000 ("1 bond"). ETrade is multiples of $5000.

Seepost #163771055 for additional info on ETrade (Thanks to Jayman007)

The auction day is May 30. Be sure to place the order before then. (Before 12 AM for non-competitive CMB. Brokers may stop take orders before then. So place order early.)

https://www.treasurydirect.gov/au.../upcoming/

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Joined Nov 2008
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magic168
05-26-2023 at 01:53 PM.
05-26-2023 at 01:53 PM.
Does anyone have Schwab and can tell me if I'm doing something wrong -- I search for the CUSIP and it brings up the right bond, I think. But there are three listings, one with a minimum 1Million, one with 100k, and one with 75k as the minimums? I don't see how I can buy less than that?
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Joined Nov 2009
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bloodshot2k6
05-26-2023 at 02:25 PM.
05-26-2023 at 02:25 PM.
Quote from spoolin01 :
It's tax exempt, but that doesn't matter because nothing in an IRA or 401K is taxed as it normally would be, until withdrawal at retirement and then it's all taxed the same, as income. Doesn't matter short-term capital gains, long-term capital gains, interest on tax-protected Treasuries or Municipals - all gains are taxed as income if it comes out of an IRA or 401K, whenever you finally withdraw the funds upon retirement. That's why you don't want to invest in things that offer tax advantages, because you lose them if you invest from within a retirement account.
But if i have some money in ira and its not invested in anything isnt it better than nothing?
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Joined Dec 2011
Two Minds Became One
> bubble2 13,700 Posts
Peerless_Warrior
05-26-2023 at 03:05 PM.
05-26-2023 at 03:05 PM.
Quote from vikassd1 :
Did you know Fidelity also offers debit card? You can also keep your cash there. And there is no fees for withdrawing from most of the other bank atms with a Fidelity card(UMB bank)
Yeah, I have a debit card from the cash account and bloom. The latter has .10¢ back per purchase. I've never used the card an ATM. Just do transfers from an external bank.
Quote from Selman :
If that's your emergency fund that would be painfully bad move. If any of that money is your reserves for the next 6-12 months If you started making zero income, then it's right where it belongs in a savings account.
My bank is giving 3.9% for interest (capital one). I wouldn't say it's emergency money per se. My plan is to save for a house, if the market improves. By EOY the balance should double. I have a strict budget
Reply
Last edited by Peerless_Warrior May 26, 2023 at 03:12 PM.
Joined May 2010
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tliky
05-26-2023 at 03:13 PM.
05-26-2023 at 03:13 PM.
How may the debt ceiling impact this?
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Joined Oct 2008
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veeRob
05-26-2023 at 03:16 PM.
05-26-2023 at 03:16 PM.
Appreciate the comments in this thread and the YouTube links as this is all new territory.

Have some cash sitting around in my TD Ameritrade account I was gonna throw at this. But after doing some searching, it seems like TD is one of the brokerages that don't have access to this auction. Is that true? Bummer if so!
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Joined May 2008
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redeyedog
05-26-2023 at 03:27 PM.
05-26-2023 at 03:27 PM.
I'm logged in treasurydirect but I cannot find how to purchase this bill right now. Any help. TIA...
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Joined Sep 2011
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spoolin01
05-26-2023 at 03:27 PM.
05-26-2023 at 03:27 PM.
Quote from bloodshot2k6 :
But if i have some money in ira and its not invested in anything isnt it better than nothing?
Definitely. My statement was too strongly worded, and consideration of tax differences between retirement and regular accounts is often pretty minor I think for most investors. For Treasuries I don't see how it matters much at all.
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Last edited by spoolin01 May 26, 2023 at 03:35 PM.

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Joined Feb 2019
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Math3w
05-26-2023 at 04:45 PM.
05-26-2023 at 04:45 PM.
I don't get it. I'm supposed to buy before I even know what percentage it is?
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Joined Dec 2005
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Daddio1949
05-26-2023 at 05:02 PM.
05-26-2023 at 05:02 PM.
Quote from spoolin01 :
Definitely. My statement was too strongly worded, and consideration of tax differences between retirement and regular accounts is often pretty minor I think for most investors. For Treasuries I don't see how it matters much at all.
The Cash Management Bills (CMB) are not available through TreasuryDirect and apparently some brokerages, for example Schwab and Vanguard. But, if you are buying for a tax deferred account, then you could buy some of the high yielding CDs, which are yielding similar returns. As stated earlier there is no advantage to owning tax exempt securities in a tax deferred account.

You can always start a Fidelity brokerage account if you are determined to own CMBs. Fidelity brokerage and checking are considered top notch.
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Joined Nov 2010
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Original Poster
zjs2k
05-26-2023 at 05:42 PM.
05-26-2023 at 05:42 PM.
Quote from redeyedog :
I'm logged in treasurydirect but I cannot find how to purchase this bill right now. Any help. TIA...
You can only buy CMB through a broker, like Fidelity or Vanguard, etc. Not TreasuryDirect.
Reply
Joined Nov 2009
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bloodshot2k6
05-26-2023 at 05:46 PM.
05-26-2023 at 05:46 PM.
Quote from Daddio1949 :
The Cash Management Bills (CMB) are not available through TreasuryDirect and apparently some brokerages, for example Schwab and Vanguard. But, if you are buying for a tax deferred account, then you could buy some of the high yielding CDs, which are yielding similar returns. As stated earlier there is no advantage to owning tax exempt securities in a tax deferred account.

You can always start a Fidelity brokerage account if you are determined to own CMBs. Fidelity brokerage and checking are considered top notch.
Whats the pros and cons of cds vs. Tbills, especially in an IRA? Seems the same to me.
Reply
Joined Nov 2010
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Original Poster
zjs2k
05-26-2023 at 05:51 PM.
05-26-2023 at 05:51 PM.
Quote from Math3w :
I don't get it. I'm supposed to buy before I even know what percentage it is?
Yes, it is called non-competitive bids. It is an auction. If you would like to set a minimal yield, you can place competitive bids through your broker. But you will not guaranteed to get it, just like an auction. I actually don't know how to place competitive bids. I don't think Fidelity will bother to answer me with my net worth, haha!

I think that most people are not ready for the competitive bids. You won't make much dent without a few billion dollars, considering every bills/notes/bonds are in dozens to hundreds of billions, and there are multiple auctions every week all year around.
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Joined Nov 2010
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Original Poster
zjs2k
05-26-2023 at 05:53 PM.
05-26-2023 at 05:53 PM.
Quote from veeRob :
Appreciate the comments in this thread and the YouTube links as this is all new territory.

Have some cash sitting around in my TD Ameritrade account I was gonna throw at this. But after doing some searching, it seems like TD is one of the brokerages that don't have access to this auction. Is that true? Bummer if so!
Yes, you are correct. You can buy CMB only through a broker.
Reply
Joined Nov 2010
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Original Poster
zjs2k
05-26-2023 at 05:56 PM.
05-26-2023 at 05:56 PM.
Quote from tliky :
How may the debt ceiling impact this?
That's a political game. Those politicians are having fun with it. I think we regular folks should at least benefit from it as well, no matter how small it is.
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Joined Nov 2010
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zjs2k
05-26-2023 at 05:59 PM.
05-26-2023 at 05:59 PM.
Quote from bloodshot2k6 :
Whats the pros and cons of cds vs. Tbills, especially in an IRA? Seems the same to me.
Not much, then. I won't argue the safety between Tbills and CDs. I would say go with the highest CD yield.
Reply
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