Joined Nov 2010
L5: Journeyman
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US Treasury CMB 161-day bill. Expected yield 5.27%, may go higher
May 25, 2023 at
02:49 PM
in
Finance
(7)
Deal Details
Last Edited by zjs2k May 31, 2023 at 02:27 AM
NOTE:
The yields listed here are annualized (APY).
The CUSIP for this CMB is 912797FJ1.
Current expected yield according to Fidelity is 5.3% (May 26), 5.268% (May 27).
Final edit: the result was out (May 30): 5.562% (investment rate, equivalent to APY).
This thread was moved out of the "Hot Deals" forum (understandably. I don't think Treasury will give SD a cut for promoting their T-Bills Haha!). Despite received much less attention than the other Treasury threads, I hope everyone read this got some useful information (like the difference between CMB and T-bills, or there are bills called CMB). I can't vouch for anyone else's comments here, but I tried to be clear about things that I know, I assume, I guess or I don't know in my comments.
Final recommendation: continue to purchase the Bills of all durations as long as they remain high yields. At 5+% yield with essentially 0 risk, it makes the risky investment in stocks / bitcoin or similar becomes less and less attractive.
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Since Treasury's CMB doesn't have a fixed schedule, which leads to less competitive bids, which in turn **usually"" leads to higher yield. This 161-day bill announced today has an expected yield of 5.27% according to Fidelity. But it **could** be higher. Example: last week's 21-day bill estimated yield ~ 5.5% (can't remember exactly). The final yield was 6.3+%.
Note: you can only buy it through brokers. Fidelity allows multiples of $1000 ("1 bond"). ETrade is multiples of $5000.
Seepost #163771055 for additional info on ETrade (Thanks to Jayman007)
The auction day is May 30. Be sure to place the order before then. (Before 12 AM for non-competitive CMB. Brokers may stop take orders before then. So place order early.)
https://www.treasurydir ect.gov/au.../upcoming/
The yields listed here are annualized (APY).
The CUSIP for this CMB is 912797FJ1.
Current expected yield according to Fidelity is 5.3% (May 26), 5.268% (May 27).
Final edit: the result was out (May 30): 5.562% (investment rate, equivalent to APY).
This thread was moved out of the "Hot Deals" forum (understandably. I don't think Treasury will give SD a cut for promoting their T-Bills Haha!). Despite received much less attention than the other Treasury threads, I hope everyone read this got some useful information (like the difference between CMB and T-bills, or there are bills called CMB). I can't vouch for anyone else's comments here, but I tried to be clear about things that I know, I assume, I guess or I don't know in my comments.
Final recommendation: continue to purchase the Bills of all durations as long as they remain high yields. At 5+% yield with essentially 0 risk, it makes the risky investment in stocks / bitcoin or similar becomes less and less attractive.
=======
Since Treasury's CMB doesn't have a fixed schedule, which leads to less competitive bids, which in turn **usually"" leads to higher yield. This 161-day bill announced today has an expected yield of 5.27% according to Fidelity. But it **could** be higher. Example: last week's 21-day bill estimated yield ~ 5.5% (can't remember exactly). The final yield was 6.3+%.
Note: you can only buy it through brokers. Fidelity allows multiples of $1000 ("1 bond"). ETrade is multiples of $5000.
Seepost #163771055 for additional info on ETrade (Thanks to Jayman007)
The auction day is May 30. Be sure to place the order before then. (Before 12 AM for non-competitive CMB. Brokers may stop take orders before then. So place order early.)
https://www.treasurydir
220 Comments
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Have some cash sitting around in my TD Ameritrade account I was gonna throw at this. But after doing some searching, it seems like TD is one of the brokerages that don't have access to this auction. Is that true? Bummer if so!
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You can always start a Fidelity brokerage account if you are determined to own CMBs. Fidelity brokerage and checking are considered top notch.
You can always start a Fidelity brokerage account if you are determined to own CMBs. Fidelity brokerage and checking are considered top notch.
I think that most people are not ready for the competitive bids. You won't make much dent without a few billion dollars, considering every bills/notes/bonds are in dozens to hundreds of billions, and there are multiple auctions every week all year around.
Have some cash sitting around in my TD Ameritrade account I was gonna throw at this. But after doing some searching, it seems like TD is one of the brokerages that don't have access to this auction. Is that true? Bummer if so!
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