Hot Toys for Christmas 2010: Predictions

I have stocked up on a few things too and am wondering if its time to bail...but I guess I will hold out a few more weeks anyways. Seems like demand should be going up for something soon as people start shopping more.

All the stores I shop at have a 3 month return policy. That means I can wait until after Black Friday which is roughly 30 days away. If people aren't paying the prices I want to see during the weekend after Thanksgiving I'm returning everything.

I have been steadily returning stuff, I bought some things in August/September, so early November is my deadline for returning all of what I got, Usually, by now the buying starts to increase, and I would be starting to sell a lot. This year has been extremely slow, and this month especially concerns me. Basically everything has turned into a shelfwarmer.
It's actually kind of confusing, beacuse when I drive around on the weekend, the stores are full of shoppers. I just don't think that the demand is there.

pillow pets was 2 years ago

true BIG TOY....Air Hogs Hawk Eye ....I don't really want to say it because I have mine on layaway (HAHAHA) for a great price on Amazon still saving but I have to get it in the next couple of weeks...folks are already at least doubling the price

Yeah, I was just looking at the Air Hogs Moto Frenzy. I checked Froogle and this is the lowest price [kmart.com] on them right now at $20.

Yep they are regular on the Hawk eye...$59.14....

I have been steadily returning stuff, I bought some things in August/September, so early November is my deadline for returning all of what I got, Usually, by now the buying starts to increase, and I would be starting to sell a lot. This year has been extremely slow, and this month especially concerns me. Basically everything has turned into a shelfwarmer.
It's actually kind of confusing, beacuse when I drive around on the weekend, the stores are full of shoppers. I just don't think that the demand is there.

Amazon has pricematched Walmarts current lowest price (which is out of stock on this).

http://www.zoolert.com/air-hogs-h...k-tracker/

The history is interesting. It looks like it doesnt last too long at Walmart? Is this is one of those big midwestern toys and hasn't hit the extreme coasts yet (being in stock at other places?)

Like those gun games of the past?

The issue isn't so much people aren't buying, you are looking at the wrong time.

This week, everyone ONLY has halloween on the mind.

Come back here in a week and tell me how the stores and the madness looks.

It will be full on holiday time.

I'd almost be willing to bet you an air hog hawk eye

Honestly, I hope you guys/gals are right. I hope the things I bought do become highly sought after. That would be nice. I'm sure there will be 1 or 2 hot items, the question is how many resellers have it compared to the buyers. I remember bakugan in 2008. It was very hot, but there was so much competition that it was almost impossible to turn a profit. I think I sold like$2000 worth for a mere 10-20% profit. That was a lot of work for a very meager profit. I think I remember Do YouRemix from the Wii resellers thread way back when. It would be nice to see profits like that again. It was such a rush to get to the electronics department just as a fresh shipment of Wii's were coming in, ah the good old days!
By the way, returning stuff is not only embarrassing to me, it is also extremely demoralizing, to do that much work researching and shopping only to bring it back.

I'm wondering if there will be ample supply of Xbox Kinect.

Honestly, I hope you guys/gals are right. I hope the things I bought do become highly sought after. That would be nice. I'm sure there will be 1 or 2 hot items, the question is how many resellers have it compared to the buyers. I remember bakugan in 2008. It was very hot, but there was so much competition that it was almost impossible to turn a profit. I think I sold like$2000 worth for a mere 10-20% profit. That was a lot of work for a very meager profit. I think I remember Do YouRemix from the Wii resellers thread way back when. It would be nice to see profits like that again. It was such a rush to get to the electronics department just as a fresh shipment of Wii's were coming in, ah the good old days!

I was in the Wii seller thread a lot while that was popular. I miss those days too. That Nintendo crap was profitable for 3 years in a row. The Bakugan thing worked out great for the one season I sold those. I think my proft margin was around 40% on those. It's funny to me that you say "a mere 10-20% proft." Considering that my bank is offering about 1% interest I'd gladly take a 10% return on anything.

That's fine for money sitting in a bank that requires no physical effort and time:
Buying 1 pack of Bakugan that year required: buying the pack, taking a picture, listing it, packaging and mailing it, and I would average a couple of dollars profit after Ebay and paypal took their chunk, and the post office. It was a lot of work for such little money, It was the equivalent to like $2 an hour. As far as Squinkies being like Bakugan, I have been looking at completed sales, and they are not selling well. The ones that do, who knows if they are actually getting the money, and if they do, it is for very little profit, or even a loss (mostly). Squinkies have become shelfwarmers, and Toys R Us and Target have them now shelfwarming. Toys R US .com has had them for 3 weeks straight in stock. Everytime they run out, they are quickly replenished with thousands more. No, I don't think that is like Bakugan, it is far worse. At least Bakugan would go out of stock, and the pegs would be bare.
As far as the component thing to a hot toy- there has to be one important factor that has been lacking in all toys so far- DEMAND.
As long as they are in stock in the stores, folks will not go to Ebay and Amazon or any other 3rd party seller when they can get it at retail. I think Toys R Us has taken a big interest in Squinkies, and will continue to crank out supply- at this point they are actually flooding the market with them.
I am still looking, and have a few things in mind, but nothing has impressed me. When the hot toy emerges, the market will become saturated again from all the fly by night sellers that pop out of the woodwork to jump on the bandwagon.
In the end, you can;t compete with big business.
Maybe you will get lucky and get on something not yet widely known as the "hot toy", but the odds are really against you.
In really am wanting the success I had with the Wii and especially Zhu ZHu pets.
I never made so much money as I did last year.
I don't see that happening this year.