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Forum Thread

Stocking up for Corona virus

940 257 March 1, 2020 at 10:57 AM in Chat
Hey guys,

Is anyone stocking up on "survival items" in fear of the Corona virus? So far I haven't, but I see a lot of the supermarkets empty from people like that here. Are the fears warranted, should I do the same?

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Joined Jan 2010
Too cool for school
> bubble2 6,121 Posts
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ProfessorChaos
03-06-2020 at 09:11 PM.
03-06-2020 at 09:11 PM.
Quote from Zoe Moon :
DH went out for supplies today but did it really early, my asthma and some other things put me in at slightly higher risk level so I stayed home. By the time this is over I may be looking a bit like Gollum. EEK!

Go for a walk around the neighborhood. It'll do you a lotta good. Just don't shake anyone's hand while you're doing it!
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Joined Aug 2003
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> bubble2 4,298 Posts
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fsyowad
03-06-2020 at 09:40 PM.
03-06-2020 at 09:40 PM.
A few tips on building up your immune system...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lAtAd6_Wh9Y
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Joined Jan 2010
Too cool for school
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ProfessorChaos
03-06-2020 at 09:41 PM.
03-06-2020 at 09:41 PM.
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Joined Jun 2006
Jambi-rific in Seattle!
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Zoe Moon
03-06-2020 at 09:50 PM.
03-06-2020 at 09:50 PM.
Quote from ProfessorChaos :
Go for a walk around the neighborhood. It'll do you a lotta good. Just don't shake anyone's hand while you're doing it!
Our neighbors are busy burning down the forest, so not so healthy air out there.
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Joined Jul 2006
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link626
03-07-2020 at 01:43 AM.
03-07-2020 at 01:43 AM.
what's the point of stocking up on water and toilet tissue?

you can boil gallons of tap water and drink that, and toilet tissue is still being mass produced, and stores will still be open during the outbreak.

Quote from Zoe Moon :
Actually/ 2% is high, much higher than the flu which is less than 1%.

I'd rather go by absolute numbers than percentages.

SARS only killed less than 1000 worldwide, last I checked.

the common flu kills way more than any other virus.


seasonal flu fatality 0.1% of 8% of the USA population that gets the flu each year (=24 million) is still greater than whatever the number is for covid right now.
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Last edited by finzz2dlft March 11, 2020 at 09:06 PM.
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LC2
03-07-2020 at 08:05 AM.
03-07-2020 at 08:05 AM.
Quote from link626 :
what's the point of stocking up on water and toilet tissue?

you can boil gallons of tap water and drink that, and toilet tissue is still being mass produced, and stores will still be open during the outbreak.
People are being told to work from home and avoid public places where people gather closely. This means a higher consumption of food and TP at home and limiting exposure by avoiding the supermarket as much as possible. No argument that it's out of hand though.
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Joined Jan 2010
Too cool for school
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ProfessorChaos
03-07-2020 at 08:17 AM.
03-07-2020 at 08:17 AM.
Quote from link626 :
I'd rather go by absolute numbers than percentages.

SARS only killed less than 1000 worldwide, last I checked.

the common flu kills way more than any other virus.


seasonal flu fatality 0.1% of 8% of the USA population that gets the flu each year (=24 million) is still greater than whatever the number is for covid right now.
It's not unreasonable to think that 10% of the population, or 30 million Americans, might contract Covid-19.

At 2% mortality that would be 600,000 deaths.

And this crap seems to spread pretty easily, so 10% may be a very optimistic estimate.


re: Stocking up on water - no need, as the taps will keep running.

Toilet paper is not likely to be in short supply. People bought it up in Hong Kong, etc., but shelves were quickly restocked.
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Joined Jul 2006
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link626
03-07-2020 at 11:35 AM.
03-07-2020 at 11:35 AM.
charmin is making a killing selling at regular retail price
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zzyzzx
03-07-2020 at 11:47 AM.
03-07-2020 at 11:47 AM.
I wonder how business is at Chinese restaurants these days?
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Jokester713713
03-07-2020 at 12:37 PM.
03-07-2020 at 12:37 PM.
Quote from zzyzzx :
I wonder how business is at Chinese restaurants these days?

pu pu platter
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Joined Nov 2006
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LC2
03-07-2020 at 09:42 PM.
03-07-2020 at 09:42 PM.
Quote from ProfessorChaos :
It's not unreasonable to think that 10% of the population, or 30 million Americans, might contract Covid-19.

At 2% mortality that would be 600,000 deaths.

And this crap seems to spread pretty easily, so 10% may be a very optimistic estimate.


re: Stocking up on water - no need, as the taps will keep running.

Toilet paper is not likely to be in short supply. People bought it up in Hong Kong, etc., but shelves were quickly restocked.
Quote from zzyzzx :
I wonder how business is at Chinese restaurants these days?
According to a recent news report, it's pretty bad. There have been multiple incidents of discrimination towards Chinese citizens. Frown
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Last edited by LC2 March 7, 2020 at 09:44 PM.
Joined Jan 2010
Too cool for school
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ProfessorChaos
03-07-2020 at 09:44 PM.
03-07-2020 at 09:44 PM.
Quote from link626 :
charmin is making a killing selling at regular retail price

Yep, they're cleaning up! LMAO
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Dr. J
03-09-2020 at 07:33 AM.
03-09-2020 at 07:33 AM.
Quote from link626 :
I'd rather go by absolute numbers than percentages.

SARS only killed less than 1000 worldwide, last I checked.

the common flu kills way more than any other virus.


seasonal flu fatality 0.1% of 8% of the USA population that gets the flu each year (=24 million) is still greater than whatever the number is for covid right now.

death rate of flu in CT is 0.58% thus far this year.

Quote from ProfessorChaos :
It's not unreasonable to think that 10% of the population, or 30 million Americans, might contract Covid-19.

At 2% mortality that would be 600,000 deaths.

And this crap seems to spread pretty easily, so 10% may be a very optimistic estimate.


re: Stocking up on water - no need, as the taps will keep running.

Toilet paper is not likely to be in short supply. People bought it up in Hong Kong, etc., but shelves were quickly restocked.
Quote from link626 :
charmin is making a killing selling at regular retail price
Family accidentally orders 12 years' worth of toilet paper [foxnews.com]

Haidee Janetzki meant to order 48 rolls of toilet paper, but instead ordered 48 boxes, Reuters reports. Now, she and her family are the proud owners of 2,304 rolls of toilet paper, which they have stacked up in their garage.

Quote from ProfessorChaos :
It's not unreasonable to think that 10% of the population, or 30 million Americans, might contract Covid-19.

At 2% mortality that would be 600,000 deaths.

And this crap seems to spread pretty easily, so 10% may be a very optimistic estimate.


re: Stocking up on water - no need, as the taps will keep running.

Toilet paper is not likely to be in short supply. People bought it up in Hong Kong, etc., but shelves were quickly restocked.
Thing is, it's not 2%. That's a number gotten including the very first part of the outbreak, which we now know to be more deadly than elsewhere (see - mortality in Hubei proper is 4%+ whereas the rest of China was sub-1%). SK is < 1% (0.68% last I checked). SK is thought to be a better metric since they are apparently doing more widespread testing and capturing people infected but would otherwise be asymptomatic.

Lastly, the nature of the population infected matters. If it's otherwise healthy people less than say, 60 or so, the rate is ~ 0.4% (based on early Chinese data; likely lower than this). If you're in your 70's, 80's and have the usual comorbidities that people in those age groups have, you're getting into the teens %'s.
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Last edited by finzz2dlft March 11, 2020 at 09:08 PM.
Joined Jul 2009
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iamiamian
03-09-2020 at 09:50 AM.
03-09-2020 at 09:50 AM.
Quote from ProfessorChaos :
Yep, they're cleaning up! LMAO
Wipe that smirk off your face.
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LC2
03-09-2020 at 05:08 PM.
03-09-2020 at 05:08 PM.
Breaking news:

Life Care center in Kirkland had 31 of 35 tests come back positive. There are still 20 tests that haven't come back yet. Wow.
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