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US Treasury CMB 161-day bill. Expected yield 5.27%, may go higher

647 213 May 25, 2023 at 02:49 PM in Finance (7)
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Last Edited by zjs2k May 31, 2023 at 02:27 AM
+64 Deal Score
66,933 Views
NOTE:
The yields listed here are annualized (APY).
The CUSIP for this CMB is 912797FJ1.
Current expected yield according to Fidelity is 5.3% (May 26), 5.268% (May 27).

Final edit: the result was out (May 30): 5.562% (investment rate, equivalent to APY).

This thread was moved out of the "Hot Deals" forum (understandably. I don't think Treasury will give SD a cut for promoting their T-Bills Haha!). Despite received much less attention than the other Treasury threads, I hope everyone read this got some useful information (like the difference between CMB and T-bills, or there are bills called CMB). I can't vouch for anyone else's comments here, but I tried to be clear about things that I know, I assume, I guess or I don't know in my comments.

Final recommendation: continue to purchase the Bills of all durations as long as they remain high yields. At 5+% yield with essentially 0 risk, it makes the risky investment in stocks / bitcoin or similar becomes less and less attractive.

=======

Since Treasury's CMB doesn't have a fixed schedule, which leads to less competitive bids, which in turn **usually"" leads to higher yield. This 161-day bill announced today has an expected yield of 5.27% according to Fidelity. But it **could** be higher. Example: last week's 21-day bill estimated yield ~ 5.5% (can't remember exactly). The final yield was 6.3+%.

Note: you can only buy it through brokers. Fidelity allows multiples of $1000 ("1 bond"). ETrade is multiples of $5000.

Seepost #163771055 for additional info on ETrade (Thanks to Jayman007)

The auction day is May 30. Be sure to place the order before then. (Before 12 AM for non-competitive CMB. Brokers may stop take orders before then. So place order early.)

https://www.treasurydirect.gov/au.../upcoming/

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Joined Sep 2021
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SlickLlama2217
05-26-2023 at 07:25 AM.
05-26-2023 at 07:25 AM.
This is a good find and you can buy bonds through Vanguard. There is also Vanguard VTAPX currently shows 5.7% yield. (Vanguard's short term Treasury inflation protected fund)
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Joined Aug 2011
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buffers
05-26-2023 at 07:33 AM.
05-26-2023 at 07:33 AM.
I never bought these. What do I need to type in for limit price?
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Joined Jul 2006
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shahhere
05-26-2023 at 07:34 AM.
05-26-2023 at 07:34 AM.
Quote from buffers :
I am in a tax free state, would it matter?

Yes it technically does as the T-Bills are not taxes at State/Local level including some Retirement accounts. If thats the case then the advantage is not there over a CD.


Shahhere
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Joined Apr 2016
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Hybrid839
05-26-2023 at 07:38 AM.
05-26-2023 at 07:38 AM.
Quote from buffers :
Can this be bought using Fidelity IRA account?
Yes, just find the t bill you want and enter the CUSIP.
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Joined Dec 2006
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xeal
05-26-2023 at 07:39 AM.
05-26-2023 at 07:39 AM.
Quote from shahhere :
Any input on a 5.74% 1 year brokered CD: 06648AAN2


Shahhere
I see that as a 4.7% BankProv CD that matures 9/14/23. Where do you see it as a 5.74%?
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Joined Jul 2010
YӨЦЯ FishyΣƧƬ ПIGΉƬMΛЯΣ
> bubble2 4,218 Posts
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Selman
05-26-2023 at 07:40 AM.
05-26-2023 at 07:40 AM.
Quote from vikassd1 :
Did you know Fidelity also offers debit card? You can also keep your cash there. And there is no fees for withdrawing from most of the other bank atms with a Fidelity card(UMB bank)

Vanguards VMFXX money market fund is paying 5.02% interest with a 0.11% expense ratio. Compare that to Fidelity's FZFXX 4.73% yield with a 0.42% expense ratio.

I have accounts at both. Fidelity has a way better website. Vanguard is way better for money market accounts.
1
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Joined Dec 2005
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Daddio1949
05-26-2023 at 07:45 AM.
05-26-2023 at 07:45 AM.
Quote from Dr. J :
There are catches as usual, such as penalties, money lock up, etc. Then there's the hassle of dealing with a different purchase vehicle. Kind of like if you are going to Walmart to get some stuff, and you need eggs but eggs are $0.25 cheaper at the grocery store, do you go out of your way for that $0.25? That's how I view it.
As already stated, Vanguard and other brokerage firms offer the ability to buy and sell T-bills at auction and secondary markets. If you are unsure on how to do so, the following YouTube video explains how to do so,
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luCA-a-FPX8
The presenter has how-to videos also for Fidelity and Schwab.

When you buy T-bills at auction, you are not charged a commission by Vanguard, Fidelity, and Schwab. I can't attest if other brokers charge a commission for auctioned T-bills. In contrast, brokerages usually charge a commission on T-bill bought or sold on the secondary market. If you're buying a couple of T-bills on the secondary market, your total return may not be that much greater than if you bought at auction due to the commission.

The above YouTube video presenter, Diamond NestEgg, has numerous videos on Cash Management Bills (CMB) and explains the difference between T-bills and CMBs. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Zj5a80qbRI

The income from T-bills are tax exempt from state and local taxes, not federal. To an extent federal money market funds can also be tax exempt but depends upon your state. Some states may disallow income from a federal money market fund depending on what type of securities were held, for example T-bills versus repos. Over at https://bogleheads.org/forum/viewforum.php?f=1 there are threads dealing with state and local taxes on federal money market funds and various states. For example, here are a few of the threads,
https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/...p?t=399695 and
https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/...p?t=402505
Vanguard, Fidelity, & Schwab do not charge a fee for their own money market funds. While these discussions focus on Vanguard, the same principle applies to federal money market funds from other brokerages.


Finally, your end of year 1099-DIV from a federal money market fund may not provide information as to the proportion of the fund that was held in tax except government securities. However, brokerages can supply that information.


Finally, if you have a brokerage account at Vanguard (or Fidelity), the cash transferred into the account is invested immediately into their Federal Money Market Fund, VMFXX, as it is their settlement account.
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shahhere
05-26-2023 at 07:47 AM.
05-26-2023 at 07:47 AM.
Quote from xeal :
I see that as a 4.7% BankProv CD that matures 9/14/23. Where do you see it as a 5.74%?

I think i am getting confused with the YieldToWorstBid column....

Shahhere

PS: Okay answering my own question here that it has a high Yield but I overlooked the fact that its not for the full 1 year (9/14/2023 as I misread it as 2024).
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Last edited by shahhere May 26, 2023 at 08:23 AM.
Joined Sep 2011
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johnny88
05-26-2023 at 07:49 AM.
05-26-2023 at 07:49 AM.
Quote from ubthca11 :
That's good news. Any chance you can help a brother out? Is there a ticker? How do I find a treasury similar to what OP posted at Vanguard?

Hard to explain. But there's a lady on YouTube that tells you with a tutorial. Fixed income funds on vanguard. Google that.
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Joined Dec 2005
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Daddio1949
05-26-2023 at 08:06 AM.
05-26-2023 at 08:06 AM.
Quote from johnny88 :
Hard to explain. But there's a lady on YouTube that tells you with a tutorial. Fixed income funds on vanguard. Google that.
See my post directly above for the YouTube lady.
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johnny88
05-26-2023 at 08:07 AM.
05-26-2023 at 08:07 AM.
Quote from Daddio1949 :
See my post directly above for the YouTube lady.

Yup that's the one
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jims8
05-26-2023 at 08:19 AM.
05-26-2023 at 08:19 AM.
Quote from grumpybovine :
I've never bought individual bonds before, so I know almost nothing about it. I'm kinda intimidated by the whole process.

My Vanguard Federal Money Market account holds my cash, and it yields about 5% now. The bond yield mentioned in this thread is 5.27%. The difference doesn't seem big. Is it worthwhile to shift the cash from MM to this bond?
You can do a quick calculation to figure out what you're getting for your effort (easiest using FV function in Excel or Google Sheets). To buy a $1000 face value bond at 5.27%, you'll pay $976.43 (see https://www.treasurydirect.gov/ma...g-pricing/). You will earn $23.57 on that over the course of 23 weeks (assuming no broker fees). If you leave that money in an account earning 5% with monthly compounding, you will earn $22.04 over the same 23 weeks. Thus, you're looking at earning approximately an extra $1.50 for every $1000 you invest. If the bond goes at 6% instead, you'd earn about an extra $4.25 per $1000 instead.
1
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Joined Jul 2014
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stiloff
05-26-2023 at 08:19 AM.
05-26-2023 at 08:19 AM.
Can you buy these at Schwab/TDA?
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bloodshot2k6
05-26-2023 at 08:26 AM.
05-26-2023 at 08:26 AM.
Quote from canyonheights9 :
You will lose the state tax exemption if you buy treasury within an IRA. Look at brokered CD rates instead.
I have asked several people including fidelity and they said its tax exempt. Can you tell me where i can find this information on losing state tax exemption?
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Daddio1949
05-26-2023 at 08:27 AM.
05-26-2023 at 08:27 AM.
Quote from stiloff :
Can you buy these at Schwab/TDA?
As I stated above the YouTube lady, Diamond NestEgg, presents a how-to for Schwab
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m...wsI&t=447s

I have purchased T-bills on Fidelity, Schwab & Vanguard, and it was fairly easy.
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